With the score tied 2-2, Bayern Munich still have a lot of work to do in Spain, but there are some reasons for them to be confident.
1. History of confrontation
Bayern may not have had the best season domestically, but they showed in their 2-2 draw in the first leg with Real Madrid exactly why Los Blancos fear them so much. Thomas Tuchel’s army dominated in terms of ball control and number of shots.
Including this season, Madrid (17) and Bayern (13) have appeared in more Champions League semi-finals than any other team in the competition’s history. If we include C1’s predecessor tournament, those numbers are 33 and 27 respectively.
No team outside of Spain has beaten Real Madrid more times than Bayern (12). In fact, Bayern has always been a constant threat to clubs from Spain, with an overall record of 70 matches, 35 wins, 16 draws and 19 losses.
Bayern has a good record against Spanish teams.
2. Kane factor
Despite Jude Bellingham’s efforts, Kane showed why he is one of the best players in the world in the first leg. Bellingham tried to distract Kane when he stepped up to take the penalty in the 57th minute, but it didn’t bother him at all, still succeeding.
The 30-year-old has now scored 44 goals in 44 games for Bayern since joining the club last summer and is desperate to win his first professional trophy.
3. Last chance
Kane joins Bayern to add trophies to his CV and the 30-year-old will do his best not to end the season with nothing. Kane is not the only one, there is also Thomas Tuchel, whose tenure will end this summer. He will do everything in his power to win a Champions League winner’s medal on his way out of Munich, having reached the final in the 2019/2020 and 2020/2021 seasons, winning the 2021 title with Chelsea.
4. History repeats itself
Beating Madrid and reaching another Champions League final would be an achievement for Bayern. More notably, their opponent will be Borussia Dortmund. The last time both Bundesliga teams reached the semi-finals was 2013, and they reached the final together. An even bigger omen is that Bayern’s victory that year came at Wembley, which hosted this season’s final.
Dortmund has a ticket to the final.
5. De Ligt reappears
De Ligt was absent from the first leg against Real Madrid, and his replacement, Kim Min-jae, did not have the best night against Vinicius. If De Ligt returns, it will be a huge motivation for Bayern. The 24-year-old’s only previous match against Los Blancos came in 2019 in the round of 16, when Ajax impressively ended their three-year title run with a historic 4-1 win at the Bernabeu . De Ligt’s ability to read the game and his proficiency in dueling will put Real’s strikers at a disadvantage, and his return could make the difference.